Spot opportunities for personal investment
I would love to know how it all started. Still, we are between the world’s two biggest economies that dramatically influence local markets, consumers, political contexts, and the world. The trade war between China and the US, which saw tariffs as the first stage of the dispute, is now characterized by the playing around in …
Continue reading “Impact of the US-China Trade War on the Economy”
Rebalancing your portfolio is an important strategy that helps keep your investments aligned with your long-term financial goals and risk tolerance. As markets fluctuate, the value of different asset classes in your portfolio—like stocks, bonds, and real estate—will rise and fall. Over time, some assets may become overrepresented, while others might become underrepresented. Rebalancing is …
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Understanding the difference between “market capitalization” and “market valuation” is essential for investors and anyone analyzing the financial worth of a company. Although these terms may seem similar, they have distinct meanings and applications in the world of finance. Market capitalization, often referred to as market cap, is a straightforward calculation that reflects a company’s …
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The market has been extremely boring and sideways-moving recently. There is a weekly forecast suggesting market correction. I am skeptical, but the future remains to be seen…
Since we earn money each month, it is extremely tempting to increase the investment amount monthly. Probably this should be done until a minimal qualifying investment amount (maybe 50,000 USD or 150,000 USD) is reached. The benefits of flexible amounts are clear: 1. Ability to use new opportunities each month 2. Natural growth of the …
This weekly forecast is a bit strange. Occasionally economical data makes no sense: good news cause sell-offs, sectors loved for safety underperform, low recession chance coincides with bear signals. It seams that occasionally semantic algorithms overtrade [using probability of rate hikes] based on keywords they recognize in the news – this could be a good …
While trend following is good for mid-term investment, fundamental analysis enables some long-term predictions. 1. The power of demographics. Young people generate inflation and growth, aging population is causing deflation and stagnation. By following nations’ demographic it is possible to predict roughly the long term growth trajectory. 2. Diffusion. In healthy economy there is diffusion …
This article shows that US accounts for 52% of total world stocks. With Japan at 7%, UK at 7% and EU at 7% trailing behind. Investing in any non-US market is of higher risk, especially monetary risk, but also growth of developed markets and market manipulation risks come to mind. With highly differentiated monetary politics, …
Continue reading “Is there a good reason to invest worldwide?”
This institute provides a leading index on US economy based on some macro measurement. This article describes how to use the leading weekly index to anticipate US economy movement.
Volatility futures are typically in contango (S&P bull market) with some backwardation periods (S&P bear market). There is a reason to trade long volatility on market peaks when (a) there is no QE in US and (b) when the contango is relatively flat, and inverse volatility on market corrections otherwize. Flat volatility contango is also …