Volatility futures are typically in contango (S&P bull market) with some backwardation periods (S&P bear market). There is a reason to trade long volatility on market peaks when (a) there is no QE in US and (b) when the contango is relatively flat, and inverse volatility on market corrections otherwize. Flat volatility contango is also …
Largest companies in the world
Today’s biggest companies are small when compared to dinosaurs 300 years ago, and the wealth is more evenly distributed. This report is a summary of largest companies world-wide. The top 10 are Notice that the list of largest companies by revenue is quite different Key highlights • Three industries show significant upward trends: Industrials (+153%), …
World markets
This post considers worlds markets performance within a long timeframe. The markets signal rotation. SENSEX is as strong as ever, but Chinese indices are under pressure and European indices are rising. S&P and Nikkei are relatively neutral. Strong volatility everywhere. Maybe volatility will subside when Greece politics and Crude price get balanced.
Gold pros and cons
This article argues that global debts rising faster than GDP will cause defaults sooner or later. So while we are in deflationary zone, and some analysts see gold heading below 1230 towards 800, there is a monetary risk we should start hedging against.
Weekly outlook
Here is a new weekly outlook. Market looks good, although another sector rotation is taking place. Everybody is looking for bottom in oil prices, but the plunge in ring count did not start to level up yet. Natural gas probably bottomed and will go up. Bonds are suddenly looking dangerous as economy starts to look …
Following guru trends
www.gurufocus.com offers a number of cool free features for those not willing to part with 400USD per year: 1. Guru trends industry 2. Guru scoreboard with easy access to individual portfolios by name. Unfortunately all data is delayed. 3. Concensus picks of many gurus 4. Insider trading is really updated, including trends 5. Rebalanced A, …
Short guide for absolute beginner
If you are an absolute beginner to the investment world: 1. Understand the idea of modern portfolio management 2. Read this description of assets and asset types. 3. Understand indicators –Economic indicators –Candlestick patterns –Bollinger bands 4. Open investing.com and look at indicators 5. Start reading seekingalpha.com”>blog 6. See the simplest tactics in our book. …
Weekly outlook
The volatility is high. We are constantly bombarded by contradicting news. Both bulls and bears are extremely active. This week outlook is mildly positive. Assets to watch: VNQ and TLT are nearing inflection points. Oil probably DCBed ahead of inflection.
Picking oil stocks
This article shows several interesting points regarding picking oil stocks. MLPs may be interesting like YMLP. Alternatively high risk PBR or low risk XOM can be considered. Even RUSL comes to mind as a possible revenue generator. There will be several good deals, but oil production needs to fall first.
No-brainer investment strategies
For the last several years simple investment in S&P was a winning strategy. While we advocate smart investing strategies with portfolio rebalancing, there are assets that will usually work for you. Each of these strategies removes you from making active decisions, and places the responsibility on fund managers: 1. Buy BRK.B or IEP or APO …