This article has in-depth analysis of the January situation and way to view several key indicators.
Choosing the right bank account
Unlike the conventional trading wisdom, in reality our accounts are highly variable: 1. Income: we add (or remove) savings into account of choice every month 2. IRA: the IRA accounts are limited by regulator, taxation and account maturity limitation. It makes sense [taxation-wise] to keep IRA account for ETFs with zero risk of ruin and …
Common sense position tactics from Warren Buffett
Warren Buffett, Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-B), was in Detroit last month. The billionaire sat down with Quicken Loans Chairman and Founder Dan Gilbert, along with President and Chief Marketing Officer Jay Farner, for an hour-long chat. When asked about the philosophy that brought him an estimated net worth of about …
Continue reading “Common sense position tactics from Warren Buffett”
Choosing the right analysis methods
We have 4 predominant approaches to market analysis: 1. Common sense: Choosing the right blend of assets in the first place, buy with discount, not getting greedy, see where the market is going. 2. Psychological: Seasonality, Elliot waves, support/resistance, dead cat bounce, retail investor behavior, algorithmic slippage. 3. Fundamental: Accounting ratios, long term indicators and …
Rebalancing
To reduce the psychological pressure, we do not want to modify the amount of money committed to investment beyond the monthly saving/using rate. Instead we use rebalancing tactics. The idea is pretty simple. If we have a portfolio of assets, we could improve the alpha of the portfolio (risk-adjusted reward) by combining uncorrelated bets. If …
Booklets
Trading tactics tips: Money management system full in-depth guide to trader psychology. Trader checklist a list of things to follow when trading. Behavioral aspects: behavioral science a list of trader biases. More behavior more reasons for failure Yet more reasons for failure I love: traders loose when they took positions that are too big. Charting …
Time scale and risk element
We assume that the readers are disciplined and trust statistical tools. Furthermore diversification and tracking enables some higher risk tolerance. The factor that limits diversification is ignorance. The highest risk element is the trader’s psychology. Various personal biases cause illogical trade decision. To remove the psychological element we limit time scale exposure (opposing trends), and …
Classes of assets
Our strategy is built from generating classes of assets and tailoring the tactics per class. The criteria for classification: 1. Trading speed: position [slow, expected to hold for months], swing-trading [mid-speed, daily oversight required] , day-trading [highly risky, should be checked every 30 min or so] 2. Risk level: leverage, beta of the underlying asset, …
Tools ideas
The tools we are building should allow the following: 1. Generate a wishlist of stocks for further use according to diversification sections 2. Select from wishlist stocks into portfolio, calculate beta and std 3. Backtest the portfolio of drawdown, upside etc 4. Analyze the whole market according to index/sector. 5. Generate timed signals for buy/sell. …
Site structure
The most visited part of the site is the Tools category with various charting and portfolio management tools. The Tactics category has our strategies and tactics. In the Analysis section try to outline long-term trends and correlations In the News section we put links to daily and weekly news and signals