Recession vs Inflation: Understanding the Economic Impact and How They Intersect

recession vs inflation

The terms “recession vs inflation” often dominate news headlines and economic discussions, yet many people struggle to fully understand what these terms mean and how they impact the broader economy. Inflation measures the rate at which prices for goods and services rise, eroding purchasing power over time. A recession, on the other hand, is a …

What Does It Mean to Rebalance Your Portfolio?

What does it mean to rebalance your portfolio

Rebalancing your portfolio is an important strategy that helps keep your investments aligned with your long-term financial goals and risk tolerance. As markets fluctuate, the value of different asset classes in your portfolio—like stocks, bonds, and real estate—will rise and fall. Over time, some assets may become overrepresented, while others might become underrepresented. Rebalancing is …

Is Market Capitalization the Same as Market Valuation?

market capitalization and market valuation

Understanding the difference between “market capitalization” and “market valuation” is essential for investors and anyone analyzing the financial worth of a company. Although these terms may seem similar, they have distinct meanings and applications in the world of finance. Market capitalization, often referred to as market cap, is a straightforward calculation that reflects a company’s …

Weekly forecast

This weekly forecast is a bit strange. Occasionally economical data makes no sense: good news cause sell-offs, sectors loved for safety underperform, low recession chance coincides with bear signals. It seams that occasionally semantic algorithms overtrade [using probability of rate hikes] based on keywords they recognize in the news – this could be a good …

Gold pros and cons

This article argues that global debts rising faster than GDP will cause defaults sooner or later. So while we are in deflationary zone, and some analysts see gold heading below 1230 towards 800, there is a monetary risk we should start hedging against.

Weekly outlook

Here is a new weekly outlook. Market looks good, although another sector rotation is taking place. Everybody is looking for bottom in oil prices, but the plunge in ring count did not start to level up yet. Natural gas probably bottomed and will go up. Bonds are suddenly looking dangerous as economy starts to look …

Weekly outlook

The volatility is high. We are constantly bombarded by contradicting news. Both bulls and bears are extremely active. This week outlook is mildly positive. Assets to watch: VNQ and TLT are nearing inflection points. Oil probably DCBed ahead of inflection.