Short guide for absolute beginner

If you are an absolute beginner to the investment world: 1. Understand the idea of modern portfolio management 2. Read this description of assets and asset types. 3. Understand indicators –Economic indicators –Candlestick patterns –Bollinger bands 4. Open investing.com and look at indicators 5. Start reading seekingalpha.com”>blog 6. See the simplest tactics in our book. …

Weekly outlook

The volatility is high. We are constantly bombarded by contradicting news. Both bulls and bears are extremely active. This week outlook is mildly positive. Assets to watch: VNQ and TLT are nearing inflection points. Oil probably DCBed ahead of inflection.

Picking oil stocks

This article shows several interesting points regarding picking oil stocks. MLPs may be interesting like YMLP. Alternatively high risk PBR or low risk XOM can be considered. Even RUSL comes to mind as a possible revenue generator. There will be several good deals, but oil production needs to fall first.

Leveraged ETFs

We discuss using leveraged ETFs for timing and momentum rebalancing. To this end we choose ETFs over low-volatility indices. In high volatility environment leveraged ETFs can be risky as explained here. Defensive sectors and large indices as well as some commodities are suitable for this approach.

Commodities supercycle

This great article shows the current commodities supercycle. Commodities are generally moving in a very wide “channel” supported by inflation with roughly 25 years cycle. The current cycle should be modified by 2008 crisis results for better understanding. It appears that the overall commodities prices are falling right now, as explained by the supercycle theory. …