Here is a new weekly outlook. Market looks good, although another sector rotation is taking place. Everybody is looking for bottom in oil prices, but the plunge in ring count did not start to level up yet. Natural gas probably bottomed and will go up. Bonds are suddenly looking dangerous as economy starts to look …
Following guru trends
www.gurufocus.com offers a number of cool free features for those not willing to part with 400USD per year: 1. Guru trends industry 2. Guru scoreboard with easy access to individual portfolios by name. Unfortunately all data is delayed. 3. Concensus picks of many gurus 4. Insider trading is really updated, including trends 5. Rebalanced A, …
Short guide for absolute beginner
If you are an absolute beginner to the investment world: 1. Understand the idea of modern portfolio management 2. Read this description of assets and asset types. 3. Understand indicators –Economic indicators –Candlestick patterns –Bollinger bands 4. Open investing.com and look at indicators 5. Start reading seekingalpha.com”>blog 6. See the simplest tactics in our book. …
Weekly outlook
The volatility is high. We are constantly bombarded by contradicting news. Both bulls and bears are extremely active. This week outlook is mildly positive. Assets to watch: VNQ and TLT are nearing inflection points. Oil probably DCBed ahead of inflection.
Picking oil stocks
This article shows several interesting points regarding picking oil stocks. MLPs may be interesting like YMLP. Alternatively high risk PBR or low risk XOM can be considered. Even RUSL comes to mind as a possible revenue generator. There will be several good deals, but oil production needs to fall first.
No-brainer investment strategies
For the last several years simple investment in S&P was a winning strategy. While we advocate smart investing strategies with portfolio rebalancing, there are assets that will usually work for you. Each of these strategies removes you from making active decisions, and places the responsibility on fund managers: 1. Buy BRK.B or IEP or APO …
Leveraged ETFs
We discuss using leveraged ETFs for timing and momentum rebalancing. To this end we choose ETFs over low-volatility indices. In high volatility environment leveraged ETFs can be risky as explained here. Defensive sectors and large indices as well as some commodities are suitable for this approach.
Defensive sectors lowering guidance
Quite counter-intuitively, this quarter the largest “space to improve” in terms of
American market is strong?
Many economists are signalling deflationary pressure [possible growth reduction] in US. Lower guidance is coming from energy sectors. Bullish FED does not help either… This in-depth analysis of situation in US explains why there is no deflation in US and earnings are reasonable. The main arguments are: 1. Drop in commodities prices allow Americans to …
Annually rebalance stocks/bonds
Usually we prefer more active hands-on approach, but sometimes all we can do is balance stocks/bonds. This strategy still is better then choosing only one of them.